Adrian Kavanagh, 30th January 2023
The most recent posts on this website have involved analyses of Eurovision semi final draws, with specific referrence to what these meant for Ireland’s chances of qualifying for the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest in those years. These analyses did factor in the importance of the contest running order – with a draw placing Ireland in the second half of a semi-final seen as much preferable to one placing Ireland in the first half – but also factored in the importance of having a number of “friendly” Eurovision countries voting in our semi-final. The decision on what was, and was not, a “friendly” country was based on an analysis I carried out in the early 2010s, which was updated in early 2018, that studied the televote patterns of each country in Eurovision between 1918 and 2017, and subsequently drew up maps to illustrate these analyses.
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