Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

Will Tomorrow’s Eurovision Semi Final Allocation Draw Spell Doomsday Blues for Ireland’s Eurovision Hopes?

January 29, 2024

Adrian Kavanagh, 29 January 2024

Figure 1: Countries assigned to different “pots” for the semi-final allocation draw for Eurovision Song Contest 2024 (Australia will be in Pot 2)

The semi-final allocation draw for the 2024 Eurovision Song Contest will take place in Malmö on 30 January. This will tell us what countries (out of the 31 countries that do not qualify directly for the Final) will take part in Semi Final 1 (on Tuesday 7 May) or Semi Final 2 (on Thursday 9 May), which semi-final will be allocated to the “Big 5″/Host countries (Sweden, United Kingdom, Spain, Germany, Italy and France) to vote in, and whether a country gets to vote in the first half or second half of the semi-final that they have been drawn into.

The 31 countries that will be taking part in the semi-finals have been allocated to one of five pots. In previous years six pots were involved, so this overall reduction in the numbers of pots does reflect the overall drop in the number of countries taking part in Eurovision over the past few years – 43 countries took part in the 2018 contest in Lisbon, for instance. The pots are drawn up on the basis of post voting trends in order to, as the official Eurovision website puts it, “reduce the chance of so-called neighbourly voting and increase suspense in the Semi-Finals”.

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Check out my elections commentary website

October 30, 2018

Check out my elections commentary website – http://www.adriankavanaghelections.org

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Upcoming Conference (14th March): Eurovision Unplugged: The Eurovision Song Contest – The Geography, The History, The Votes and The Songs

March 7, 2018

Eurovision Unplugged: The Eurovision Song Contest – The Geography, The History, The Votes and The Songs

One-Day Conference (11.00 – 3.30), Wednesday 14th March 2018

Room 11, School of Education, Maynooth University (North Campus)

Featuring Contributions from:

  • Zena Donnelly: Ireland’s representative at Junior Eurovision Song Contest 2016 (only contestant to write their own composition)– only person to finish in the Top 10 of a Eurovision contest with an entry in the Irish language)
  • Michael Kealy (RTÉ): Irish Head of Delegation for the Eurovision Song Contest
  • Padraig Muldoon: Deputy Editor of wiwibloggs – the most-read independent Eurovision website)
  • Johnny Fallon (Carr Communications): Eurovision aficionado
  • Caoilfhionn D’Arcy (Maynooth University): Geography/Music graduate and Eurovision enthusiast
  • Adrian Kavanagh (Maynooth University): Lecturer at Maynooth University Department of Geography, Eurovision fanatic…er analyst
  • And…Members of the Audience

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Eurovision 2018 Semi-Final Allocation Draw: What is Ireland’s “dream draw” and “nightmare draw”?

January 23, 2018

Adrian Kavanagh, 23rd January 2018

As reported on the official Eurovision Song Contest website, the allocation draw for the 2017 Eurovision Song Contest semi finals will take place on Monday (29th January 2018) in Lisbon City Hall (at 13.00 Common European Time). After this draw, Ireland will know whether the Irish act will be taking part in Semi Final 1 (on 8th May 2017) or Semi Final 2 (on 10th May 2017) and will also know the 17/18 other countries that will be competing against the Irish act for one of the ten qualifying slots from this semi final. The three Big 5/Host countries that will have the right to vote in the different semi finals will also be known after this. This post will assess the possibilities facing Ireland ahead of this draw and pinpoint what would be an drawn/nightmare draw for the Irish act.  (more…)

Previewing the Final of the 2017 Eurovision Song Contest

May 12, 2017

Adrian Kavanagh, 12th May 2017 

Following on the previous posts reviewing Semi Final 1 and Semi Final 2, this post will offer a brief review of the 26 acts competing Grand Final of the 2016 Eurovision Song Contest. As in the case of the semi-finals, this contest will take place over two nights, with the professional juries voting on the contest taking place on the night of Friday 12th May (tonight!), while the public will vote on the televised show, which takes place on the night of Saturday 13th May. (more…)

Eurovision Song Contest 2017: Semi Final 2 Review

May 10, 2017

Adrian Kavanagh, 10th May 2017

The post will offer a brief review of the 18 acts competing in the second of the two semi-finals for the 2017 Eurovision Song Contest. This contest is taking place over two nights. 50% of the votes will be decided tonight, with the professional juries voting on tonight’s show (Wednesday 10th May), while the public will vote on the televised show, which takes place tonight, Thursday 11th May.  (This post is still under construction – further details, including a discussion of Lithuania, Estonia and Israel, will follow tomorrow morning.)

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Eurovision Song Contest 2017: Semi Final 1 Review

May 9, 2017

Adrian Kavanagh, 9th May 2017

The post will offer a brief review of the 18 acts competing in the first of the two semi-finals for the 2017 Eurovision Song Contest. This contest is taking place over two nights. 50% of the votes have already been decided, with the professional juries having voted on the show taking place last night (Monday 8th May), while the public will vote on the televised show, which takes place tonight, Tuesday 9th May. (more…)

How Ireland fared in Eurovision Semi Final 2. How Ireland voted in Semi Final 2/the Final: Televote and Jury Vote breakdowns

May 15, 2016

Adrian Kavanagh, 15th May 2016

Ireland finished in 15th place in the second Eurovision Semi Final with 46 points – the last country to qualify, Serbia, finished with 105 points. Australia won this semi-final with 330 points, followed by Ukraine on 287 points in second place and Belgium on 274 points in third place.

How did Ireland fare with the (other) countries who were voting in this semi-final? Based on the details provided from the official Eurovision website, we can see that Ireland were ranked accordingly by the other 20 countries who were voting in our semi-final: (more…)

Please Support – Eurovision Handbook in aid of Irish Cancer Society

May 9, 2013

The Eurovision Handbook 2013, which accompanies much of the research underpinning this page, is out now! Profits going to Irish Cancer Society.

Johnny Fallon

As someone who likes traditions and loves voting its no surprise that Im a huge Eurovision fan. This year, I have been lucky enough to team up with Adrian Kavanagh in order to produce ‘The 2013 Eurovision Handbook’. As many of you will know Adrian is one of the best statistical minds there is and his research on Eurovision is just amazing stuff. We decided that, whether you are a fan or not, the Eurovision contains a lot of interesting vote patterns, stories and fun.

Putting all this together we hope to give you a new way of looking at the contest and raise so money for the Irish Cancer Society while we are at it. All royalties from this book will be donated and we will not be taking any cut from it.

This handbook gives you a run down on each country and its record in the competition…

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Eurovision 2012: New Friends For Ireland?

May 24, 2012

Adrian Kavanagh, 23rd May 2012

Leaving aside the advantage of our great semi final draw, the previous post on the voting histories of the different countries voting in Semi Final 1 suggested that Ireland would struggle to qualify if previous vote patterns were replicated in this year’s semi final. Given the fact that geography was not working to their advantage, the achievement of Jedward in qualifying for Saturday’s final (and indeed last year’s final) cannot be under-estimated. So what happened and where did Ireland get the votes? (more…)